Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.