Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
