Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.57%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.01%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.