Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
