Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
