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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
27.86% | 24.66% | 47.48% |
Both teams to score 55.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.82% | 47.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.58% | 69.42% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% | 30.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% | 67.08% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% | 19.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% | 52.09% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |