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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heerenveen |
35.7% | 23.88% | 40.42% |
Both teams to score 61.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.55% | 40.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.17% | 62.83% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% | 22.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.81% | 56.19% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% | 20.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% | 52.6% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3% Total : 40.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |