Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Partizani Tirana had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Partizani Tirana win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Astana in this match.