Basel

4 - 2

Kairat

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Kairat had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Kairat win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.