UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF 1

Breidablik
4 - 1
UE Santa Coloma

(Breidablik win 5-1 on aggregate)

Thorvaldsson (45'), Gunnlaugsson (50' pen.), Rafn Yeoman (64'), Steindorsson (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Paredes (30')
Virgili (12'), Priego (36')
Portuga (49')

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Breidablik and UE Santa Coloma.

Form, Standings, Stats

UE Santa Coloma

Last Game: UE Santa Coloma 0-1 Breidablik
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Breidablik

Last Game: UE Santa Coloma 0-1 Breidablik
Thursday, July 7 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest UE Santa Coloma win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Breidablik would win this match.

Result
Breidablik	Draw	UE Santa Coloma
50.02% ( -0)	23.74% ( -0)	26.23% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.08% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

0.04)

44.33% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

0.04)

66.7% (

-0.03)

Breidablik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.19% (

0.01)

17.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.47% (

0.02)

48.53% (

-0.02)

UE Santa Coloma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

0.03)

30.55% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

0.04)

66.77% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Breidablik 50.02%

UE Santa Coloma 26.23%

Draw 23.74%

Breidablik	Draw	UE Santa Coloma
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 50.02%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.74%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.23%