Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Bâlgarska Armija
CSKA Sofia0 - 1St Patrick's
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: NS Mura 0-0 St Patrick's (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 32 |
We said: CSKA Sofia 2-0 St Patrick's Athletic
CSKA Sofia's technical ability is on another level to St Patrick's, and we expect the Bulgarians to secure a comfortable victory. However, the Irish side have enough about them to dig in and give themselves a glimmer of hope in the return leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
41.95% ( -0.19) | 25.67% ( 0.02) | 32.38% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
