Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadi Nacional
Santa Coloma0 - 1AZ
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Santa Coloma and AZ Alkmaar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Coloma 3-0 Sutjeska Niksic
Thursday, August 3 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 AZ
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Santa Coloma | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
13.49% ( 0.12) | 20.22% ( 0.13) | 66.29% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% ( -0.28) | 47.15% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.61% ( -0.26) | 69.38% ( 0.26) |
FC Santa Coloma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.04% ( 0.01) | 45.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.31% ( 0.01) | 81.69% ( -0.01) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.65% ( -0.16) | 13.35% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.77% ( -0.32) | 40.23% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
FC Santa Coloma 13.49%
AZ Alkmaar 66.28%
Draw 20.22%
FC Santa Coloma | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 0.97% 3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.49% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.22% | 0-2 @ 12.43% 0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4.2% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 66.28% |
How you voted: Santa Coloma vs AZ
FC Santa Coloma
25.0%Draw
0.0%AZ Alkmaar
75.0%8
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-05 06:45:07
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Arsenal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
6 | Aston Villa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Fulham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Brentford | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
19 | Southampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 3 |
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