Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadi Nacional
Santa Coloma0 - 1AZ
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between FC Santa Coloma and AZ Alkmaar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Coloma 3-0 Sutjeska Niksic
Thursday, August 3 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 AZ
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for FC Santa Coloma had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a FC Santa Coloma win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Santa Coloma | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
13.49% ( 0.12) | 20.22% ( 0.13) | 66.29% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
