MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 19:11:49| >> :600:2239122:2239122:
FC Twente logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 6pm UK
De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
0 - 1
Fenerbahce


Sadilek (26'), Rots (37'), Kjolo (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dzeko (72' pen.)
Oosterwolde (9'), Hakan Yandas (23'), Aziz (32'), Becao (45+2'), Yuksek (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Twente and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-1 FC Twente
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-1 FC Twente
Thursday, August 24 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: FC Twente 2-1 Fenerbahce (Fenerbahce to win 6-2 on aggregate)

Despite last week's defeat, Twente will remain confident that they can score four goals in this fixture. Nevertheless, it may only take one from the visitors to ease any nerves of a collapse, and we feel that the Turkish outfit will have few issues in easing through to the group stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
FC TwenteDrawFenerbahce
43.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.36%32.41% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)43.55% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.94% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71%20.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)52.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.91% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.9% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 43.23%
    Fenerbahce 32.41%
    Draw 24.35%
FC TwenteDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Fenerbahce

FC Twente
26.7%
Draw
20.0%
Fenerbahce
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 6pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Fenerbahce
5-1
FC Twente
Oosterwolde (32'), Szymanski (60'), Kahveci (62', 74'), Tadic (90+3' pen.)
Can Egribayat (74'), Fred (90+1')
Ugalde (20')
Ugalde (37')
Regeer (43')
rhs 2.0
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