MX23RW : Monday, November 4 18:29:11| >> :120:29390:29390:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
1 - 0
VPS

Fofana (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Justiniano (83'), Bashkirov (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between FK Zalgiris and Vaasan Palloseura.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: VPS 1-2 Zalgiris
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: VPS 1-2 Zalgiris
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawVaasan Palloseura
59.86% (-0.117 -0.12) 21.34% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 18.79% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.09% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (-0.297 -0.3)42.23% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (-0.297 -0.3)64.63% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28% (-0.13 -0.13)13.72% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.03% (-0.258 -0.26)40.96% (0.258 0.26)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (-0.135 -0.13)36.15% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-0.137 -0.14)72.93% (0.13600000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 59.86%
    Vaasan Palloseura 18.79%
    Draw 21.34%
FK ZalgirisDrawVaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.34%
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.57% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.79%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs VPS

FK Zalgiris
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Vaasan Palloseura
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 6pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
VPS
1-2
Zalgiris
Ahiabu (59')
Pitkanen (62'), Vlijter (90+2'), Niemi (90+6'), Niemi (90+6')
Pitkanen (72')
Fofana (25'), Kendysh (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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