MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:34:33| >> :600:389215:389215:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Gent
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Ghelamco Arena

Gent
0 - 1
Djurgarden

FT(HT: 0-1)
Danielsson (38')
Ekdal (67'), Asoro (73'), Edvardsen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gent and Djurgardens IF, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 3-4 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, October 2 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Djurgardens IF

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Degerfors 3-0 Djurgarden
Saturday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Gent 2-1 Djurgardens IF

 Gent have not been in good form recently, but we back them to have enough to get the three points, especially with Djurgarden struggling on the road in recent matches. It is likely to be by a narrow margin, but Gent should win and remain top of the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Gent had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.76%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest Gent win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
GentDrawDjurgardens IF
35.51% (0.17599999999999 0.18) 22.41% (-0.135 -0.13) 42.08% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 67.33% (0.565 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.86% (0.71599999999999 0.72)33.14% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.11% (0.819 0.82)54.89% (-0.821 -0.82)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (0.411 0.41)19.36% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (0.671 0.67)51.14% (-0.674 -0.67)
Djurgardens IF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.274 0.27)16.51% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.492 0.49)46.25% (-0.495 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Gent 35.51%
    Djurgardens IF 42.08%
    Draw 22.41%
GentDrawDjurgardens IF
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.51%
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.99% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.2% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.047 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1.04% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 42.08%

How you voted: Gent vs Djurgarden

Gent
71.4%
Draw
18.4%
Djurgardens IF
10.2%
49
rhs 2.0
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