Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente4 - 0Riga FC
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, August 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, August 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boavista | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: Riga FC 1-1 Gil Vicente
Wednesday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Riga FC 2-1 Gil Vicente
While Gil Vicente will be looking to kick off their campaign on a high, they face a spirited Riga FC side who have won each of their four games in the qualifiers. The Latvian side head into Thursday on a run of seven wins from their last nine home games and we are backing them to maintain this fine record by claiming a vital first-leg victory against the Portuguese outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Riga FC |
| 38.89% | 25.88% | 35.23% |
Both teams to score 54.53% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
