Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Istanbul2 - 0Saburtalo Tbilisi
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Saburtalo Tbilisi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-1 Istanbul
Monday, August 12 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, August 12 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Saburtalo Tbilisi 0-1 Istanbul
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Saburtalo Tbilisi |
60.41% ( -0.16) | 20.76% ( 0.06) | 18.83% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
