Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
PGE Arena Gdansk
Gdansk4 - 1Akademija Pandev
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Lechia Gdansk and Akademija Pandev.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 Akademija Pandev
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Akademija Pandev had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Akademija Pandev win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.
Result | ||
Lechia Gdansk | Draw | Akademija Pandev |
39.61% ( 0.01) | 24.65% ( -0) | 35.74% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.88% ( 0.01) | 44.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.5% ( 0.01) | 66.51% ( -0.01) |
Lechia Gdansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0.01) | 22.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.34% ( 0.02) | 55.66% ( -0.02) |
Akademija Pandev Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.75% ( -0) | 24.25% ( 0) |