MX23RW : Monday, November 25 14:12:47| >> :120:13532:13532:
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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
2 - 5
Szczecin

Finlayson (55'), Hall (80')
Clarke (13'), Cooper (45+1'), McClean (57'), Hall (88'), Robertson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Grosicki (14' pen.), Gamboa (40'), Malec (63'), Koulouris (66'), Fornalczyk (90+5')
Gamboa (69'), Wahlqvist (86'), Loncar (88')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Linfield and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Vllaznia Shkoder 1-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Brondby 4-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ballymena0nan
2Carrick0nan
3Cliftonville0nan
4Coleraine0nan
5Crusaders0nan
6Dungannon0nan
7Glenavon0nan
8Glentoran0nan
9Larne0nan
10Linfield0nan
11Loughgall0nan
12Newry City AFC0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawPogon Szczecin
31.48% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 41.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.73% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)53.27% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.83% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)31.34% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 31.48%
    Pogon Szczecin 41.99%
    Draw 26.53%
LinfieldDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.48%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.02%
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.99%

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