Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Gent had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.