Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Maribor1 - 1Birkirkara
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and Birkirkara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birkirkara 1-0 Ljubljana (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.63%. A win for Birkirkara had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Birkirkara win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | Birkirkara |
57.63% ( -0.15) | 20.93% ( 0.05) | 21.44% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.06% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
