Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Turk Hava Yollari Futbol Markazi IV meydanca
Neftchi Baku1 - 3Besiktas
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Besiktas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 2-0 Zeljeznicar
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Tirana 0-2 Besiktas
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Besiktas |
21.57% | 22.64% | 55.79% |
Both teams to score 55.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.84% | 44.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.46% | 66.54% |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% | 34.46% |