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Olympiacos
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
1 - 4
M. Tel Aviv

El Kaabi (13')
Iborra (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Zahavi (4', 30'), Shahar (9'), Peretz (74')
Kanichowsky (20'), Shahar (38'), Mishpati (57'), Revivo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Maccabi Tel Aviv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Olympiacos 3-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv

While Maccabi could score in Piraeus, Olympiacos should secure a healthy enough advantage over the Israeli side to continue Mendilibar's winning start at the club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
OlympiacosDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
57.52% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 21.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 20.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (0.038000000000004 0.04)62.87% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (0.025000000000006 0.03)13.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (0.045999999999999 0.05)41.26% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 57.52%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 20.86%
    Draw 21.62%
OlympiacosDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48%
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 20.86%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs M. Tel Aviv

Olympiacos
78.1%
Draw
15.2%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
6.7%
105
rhs 2.0
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