MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 10:01:09| >> :600:2206082:2206082:
PAOK
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Aberdeen logo

PAOK
2 - 2
Aberdeen

Taison (23'), Samatta (67')
Vieirinha (34'), Tsiggaras (45'), Koulierakis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopes (14'), McGrath (70')
Robson (49'), Hayes (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 2-4 PAOK
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Hibernian 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, November 4 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: PAOK 2-1 Aberdeen

Both of Aberdeen's defeats in this competition have come by a solitary goal, and we can envisage that trend continuing in Greece on Thursday. PAOK will be determined to finish top of Group B having made a perfect start from their opening three matches, and they should have a little too much quality for their opponents, especially with home advantage on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawAberdeen
65.81% (0.063999999999993 0.06) 19.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 14.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (0.022999999999996 0.02)43.98% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (0.022999999999996 0.02)66.36% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)12.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.53% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.79% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88% (-0.035 -0.04)79.11% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 65.81%
    Aberdeen 14.3%
    Draw 19.88%
PAOKDrawAberdeen
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 8.01% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.16% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.88%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 14.3%

How you voted: PAOK vs Aberdeen

PAOK
90.6%
Draw
6.3%
Aberdeen
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Aberdeen
2-3
PAOK
Miovski (50'), Polvara (58')
Rubezic (90+5')
Despodov (73'), Vieirinha (84'), Schwab (90+6' pen.)
Schwab (37'), Lucescu (90'), Troost-Ekong (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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