We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 Partizan
Playing behind closed doors denies Sheriff the opportunity to play in front of a full stadium which they usually attract for European fixtures, and with many incoming and outgoings during January, it will be interesting to see how settled the side is.
Partizan will be hopeful of any kind of result to take back home for the return leg in Belgrade, where their fanatical home support could play a huge role.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Partizan had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Partizan win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.