Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
St Patrick's1 - 0Sabah
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Sabah.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-2 Sligo
Sunday, August 4 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Sunday, August 4 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Sabah 3-6 M. Haifa (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Derry | 40 | 1.54 | Hoban |
| 2 | Waterford | 34 | 1.31 | Amond |
| 3 | Shamrock | 33 | 1.38 | Kenny |
| 4 | Sligo | 31 | 1.19 | Chapman |
| 5 | Drogheda | 28 | 1.08 | Pierrot |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 28 | 1.12 | Jarvis |
| 7 | St Patrick's | 27 | 1.04 | Kavanagh |
| 8 | Bohemians | 25 | 1.04 | Akintunde |
| 9 | Galway United | 21 | 0.84 | Walsh |
| 10 | Dundalk | 18 | 0.69 | Gullan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Sabah had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Sabah win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Sabah |
38.22% ( 0.04) | 26.74% ( 0.01) | 35.03% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
