Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni
Torpedo1 - 4Aktobe
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Torpedo Kutaisi and Aktobe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarajevo 1-1 Torpedo (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aktobe win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Torpedo Kutaisi had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aktobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Torpedo Kutaisi win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aktobe would win this match.
Result | ||
Torpedo Kutaisi | Draw | Aktobe |
31.86% ( -0.01) | 26.57% ( -0) | 41.57% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.71% ( 0.01) | 53.29% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.16% ( 0.01) | 74.84% ( -0.01) |
Torpedo Kutaisi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% | 31.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( 0) | 67.4% |
Aktobe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( 0.01) | 25.3% ( -0.01) |