Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Qabala had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Qabala win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.