Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo
Vorskla3 - 2AIK
Stepanyuk (4'), Kozyrenko (24'), Chelyadin (69')
Perduta (43'), Kozyrenko (57'), Puclin (79'), Stepanyuk (90')
Perduta (43'), Kozyrenko (57'), Puclin (79'), Stepanyuk (90')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Stefanelli (17'), Larsson (44')
Papagiannopoulos (39'), Larsson (54'), Ring (89'), Milosevic (90+1')
Papagiannopoulos (39'), Larsson (54'), Ring (89'), Milosevic (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Vorskla Poltava and AIK Fotboll.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lviv 1-1 Vorskla
Saturday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Saturday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
5 | Dnipro-1 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
Last Game: AIK 1-0 Kalmar
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Hacken | 13 | 11 | 28 |
3 | AIK Fotboll | 14 | 6 | 28 |
4 | Malmo | 15 | 7 | 27 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vorskla Poltava | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
31.66% ( -0) | 28% ( 0.03) | 40.34% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.24% ( -0.11) | 58.76% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.71% ( -0.09) | 79.29% ( 0.08) |
Vorskla Poltava Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( -0.06) | 34.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.27% ( -0.06) | 70.73% ( 0.06) |
AIK Fotboll Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( -0.07) | 28.52% ( 0.07) |