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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Slavutych-Arena
Roma logo

Luhansk
0 - 3
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (7'), Smalling (66'), Abraham (68')
Kumbulla (81'), Patricio (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawRoma
28.31%22.5%49.19%
Both teams to score 63.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.06%36.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.88%59.12%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02%59.98%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65%15.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.88%44.12%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 28.31%
    Roma 49.19%
    Draw 22.5%
Zorya LuhanskDrawRoma
2-1 @ 6.88%
1-0 @ 5.33%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.31%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 5.85%
0-3 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 4.03%
1-4 @ 2.74%
0-4 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4%
Total : 49.19%

How you voted: Luhansk vs Roma

Zorya Luhansk
22.7%
Draw
18.2%
Roma
59.1%
22