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Europa League
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro

Aris Limassol
1 - 3
Sparta Prague

Bengtsson (84')
Caju (77'), Brown (86'), Brorsson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kuchta (4'), Birmancevic (11', 45+1')
Krejci (3'), Kairinen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Aris Limassol and Sparta Prague, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Limassol

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rangers 1-1 Aris Limassol
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 3-0 Jablonec
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Czech Liga

We said: Aris Limassol 0-2 Sparta Prague

 The odds are stacked against Aris dropping into the Europa Conference League knockouts in their debut season in Europe, but they are unlikely to be pushovers for Sparta. A narrow 3-2 win in the reverse shows Aris can be tricky customers, but the visitors should win here and take their place in the knockout rounds of this competition, even if they do fall slightly short of the three-goal margin needed to potentially win the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Limassol win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Limassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Aris LimassolDrawSparta Prague
38.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.28% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 35.87% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.7% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)47% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-0.038 -0.04)69.24% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Aris Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)58.09% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)25.51% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)60.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Aris Limassol 38.85%
    Sparta Prague 35.87%
    Draw 25.27%
Aris LimassolDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Aris Limassol vs Sparta Prague

Aris Limassol
9.1%
Draw
12.7%
Sparta Prague
78.2%
55
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Sparta Prague
3-2
Aris Limassol
Krejci (20', 25'), Vitik (67')
Krejci (9'), Sorensen (69'), Pavelka (87')
Kokorin (11' pen.), Babicka (90')
Shpilevski (25'), Kokorin (69')
> Preview
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