Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen3 - 2Celtic
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Celtic
Celtic were well beaten against Leverkusen in September, but with the hosts to be without a few key players on Thursday, a closer affair could be on the cards this time around. Nevertheless, the Germans will be the favourites for this contest and still have enough quality in their squad to secure all three points at the BayArena. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.34%) and 3-1 (5.34%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Celtic |
43.42% | 21.92% | 34.64% |
Both teams to score 69.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.14% | 30.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.78% | 52.21% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.91% | 15.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.39% | 43.6% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% | 18.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.91% | 50.08% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen 43.42%
Celtic 34.64%
Draw 21.92%
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 8.46% 1-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-3 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.29% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 7.09% 0-0 @ 2.82% 3-3 @ 2.5% Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.96% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.66% 3-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.64% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Celtic
Bayer Leverkusen
78.4%Draw
11.4%Celtic
10.3%185
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Celtic
0-4
B. Leverkusen
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-10 19:34:44
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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