Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for CFR Cluj had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest CFR Cluj win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Red Star Belgrade in this match.