Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.