Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.