MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:17:02| >> :60:1759:1759:
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
HJK logo

Fenerbahce
1 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Gumuskaya (65')
Aziz (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carlos Murillo (48'), Browne (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHJK Helsinki
32.11%25.9%41.99%
Both teams to score 53.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52%50.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59%72.41%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.51%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98%58.02%
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 32.11%
    HJK Helsinki 41.98%
    Draw 25.9%
FenerbahceDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.11%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 4.22%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 41.98%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs HJK Helsinki

Fenerbahce
82.2%
Draw
8.5%
HJK Helsinki
9.3%
129
rhs 2.0
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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