Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.