Europa League
May 7, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Lukas Kübler 19' goal
  • Johan Manzambi 41' goal
  • Lukas Kübler 72' goal
  • Jordy Makengo 80' yellowcard
  • Bruno Ogbus 81' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Moscardo 65'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 65'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martínez 77'
  • goal Pau Víctor 79'

Freiburg vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Braga 2 - 1 Freiburg

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Braga 2 - 1 Freiburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 43.02% (-0.04)
Draw 23.73%
Braga 33.21% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.9%
Under 1.5 22.1%
Over 2.5 54.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.62%
Under 3.5 67.38%
Over 4.5 19.2% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.8% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 27.32%
Draw 43.04%
Braga 29.63% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 45.93% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.78% (-0.01)
Braga 48.29%

Corners

Over 8 41.31%
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 46.76%
Over 9 30.63%
Equal 9 10.68%
Under 9 58.69%
Over 10.5 21.81%
Under 10.5 78.19%

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 43.84% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.16% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 20.32% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.68% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.74% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.26% (+0.02)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 67.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.78% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.71% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.2% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.84%
Under 3.5 95.16%

Score analysis

Freiburg 43.02%
Draw 23.73%
Braga 33.22%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 8.6% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 7.63% (-0.01)
Total : 43.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.73%
Braga
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 33.22%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Demir Ege Tıknaz 8' goal
  • Mario Dorgeles 25' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 26' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 72' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 90'+2' goal
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 16'
  • yellowcard Lucas Höler 81'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 81'