Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.