Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Genk had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.