Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
