Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.