MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 15:40:29| >> :60:1201:1201:
Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Galatasaray

Neftchi Baku
1 - 3
Galatasaray

Mbodj (46')
Ibara (18'), Alasgarov (35'), Kane (69'), Krivotsyuk (86'), Bougrine (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diagne (19', 63'), Luyindama (48')
Feghouli (54'), Saracchi (90+2')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Galatasaray.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawGalatasaray
37.86%24.66%37.48%
Both teams to score 59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93%44.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55%66.45%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91%23.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06%56.94%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77%57.23%
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 37.86%
    Galatasaray 37.48%
    Draw 24.66%
Neftchi BakuDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 8.42%
1-0 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.78%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.48%

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