Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.