Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.68%) and 0-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
