MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:16:28| >> :120:77834:77834:
Servette
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de Geneve
Braga

Servette
1 - 2
Braga

Kutesa (90+1')
Antunes (62'), Douline (62'), Crivelli (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Ouazzani (45+1'), Fernandez (69')
Zalazar (65'), Fernandez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Servette and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Servette 0-6 Basel
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, August 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Servette 1-2 Braga (Braga win 2-1 on aggregate)

A change of management may get Braga back on track, while Servette's weekend thrashing will have dented morale in the Swiss side's camp: given the visitors' greater experience they should progress, with their hosts bound for the Conference League playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Servette had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
ServetteDrawBraga
32.05% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24) 24.38% (-0.529 -0.53) 43.56% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 58.79% (1.733 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (2.309 2.31)43.82% (-2.316 -2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (2.22 2.22)66.21% (-2.225 -2.23)
Servette Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (0.971 0.97)26.27% (-0.978 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (1.285 1.29)61.38% (-1.292 -1.29)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (1.311 1.31)20.26% (-1.317 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (2.055 2.06)52.6% (-2.063 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Servette 32.05%
    Braga 43.56%
    Draw 24.38%
ServetteDrawBraga
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.217 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.557 -0.56)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.519 -0.52)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.238 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.93% (0.164 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.086 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 43.56%

How you voted: Servette vs Braga

Servette
11.8%
Draw
10.5%
Braga
77.6%
76
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 8.30pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Braga
0-0
Servette
Bruma (15'), El Ouazzani (78'), Zalazar (90+11')
Rouiller (90+9')
rhs 2.0
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