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Europa League
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 6pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Malmo

Sivasspor
0 - 2
Malmo


Keita (29'), Yesilyurt (42'), James (61'), Gradel (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Birmancevic (76'), Kiese Thelin (90')
Rakip (13'), Birmancevic (21'), Beijmo (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sivasspor and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sivasspor

Last Six:
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-1 Alanyaspor
Monday, August 22 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Malmo
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Sivasspor 1-2 Malmo (Malmo to win 5-2 on aggregate)

 With a comfortable first-leg victory in the bag, Malmo will head into the midweek clash with sky-high confidence as they look to finish off the job. Sivasspor have staggered into the new season and we predict that their struggles will continue, with the Swedish outfit claiming another victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 36.3%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 31.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.4%) and 1-2 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.75%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-0 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
SivassporDrawMalmo
31.39% (0.171 0.17) 32.31% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 36.3% (-0.185 -0.19)
Both teams to score 36.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)88.34% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (0.126 0.13)41.53% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (0.11 0.11)78.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (-0.137 -0.14)37.93% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (-0.133 -0.13)74.7% (0.13300000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 31.39%
    Malmo 36.3%
    Draw 32.3%
SivassporDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 13.84% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.046 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.9% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.73% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 31.39%
0-0 @ 15.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.41%
2-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 32.3%
0-1 @ 15.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Malmo

Sivasspor
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Malmo
66.7%
84
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 6pm
Malmo
3-1
Sivasspor
Zeidan (18'), Christiansen (37'), Moisander (68')
Rakip (38'), Lomotey (83'), Moisander (86')
James (30')
Yalcin (36'), Goutas (52'), Gradel (52'), Yatabare (78')
rhs 2.0
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