Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.