We said: Zenit St Petersburg 1-1 Real Betis
Although the visitors may be missing a couple of key players, they have proven to be a tough team to beat on their travels this season.
Zenit, meanwhile, may be slightly undercooked due to the lack of competitive football and although they possess home advantage, we think that they may be held to a draw on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.