European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Italy1 - 0Wales
The Match
Match Report
Ethan Ampadu was sent off for Wales after 55 minutes.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship clash between Italy and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up against Wales for Sunday's Euro 2020 group clash.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Wales had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.13%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Italy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Wales |
| 60.13% | 25.11% | 14.75% |
| Both teams to score 36.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
