European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Portugal2 - 4Germany
The Match
Match Report
Joachim Low's tactics worked perfectly in the 4-2 victory.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Portugal and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up in Saturday's Euro 2020 clash with Portugal.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Portugal had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Portugal win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Germany |
| 33% | 26.75% | 40.25% |
| Both teams to score 51.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.28% | 53.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.79% | 75.2% |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% | 30.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.24% | 66.75% |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% | 26.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.71% | 61.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal 33%
Germany 40.25%
Draw 26.75%
| Portugal | Draw | Germany |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2% Other @ 3.13% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.25% |
How you voted: Portugal vs Germany
Portugal
49.8%Draw
23.0%Germany
27.2%1284
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2014 5pm
Group Stage
Germany
4-0
Portugal
Jun 9, 2012 7.45pm
Group Stage
Germany
1-0
Portugal
Form Guide
Build-up
How Germany could line up against Portugal
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up in Saturday's Euro 2020 clash with Portugal.
4 years ago
How Portugal could line up against Germany
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up in Saturday's Euro 2020 clash with Germany.
4 years ago
